Preview

Pozharovzryvobezopasnost/Fire and Explosion Safety

Advanced search
Open Access Open Access  Restricted Access Subscription Access

Fire frequency statistics for various production and warehouse facilities in the Russian Federation

https://doi.org/10.22227/0869-7493.2025.34.04.42-61

Abstract

Introduction. Determining the frequency of fires in industrial buildings and warehouses is an important integral part of fire risk analysis, which greatly impacts its ultimate result. However, the present-day method used to determine this fire frequency has several weaknesses.

Goals and objectives. The goal of the article is to generate real fire statistics for production and warehouse facilities in the Russian Federation on the basis of alternative fire frequency data depending on the area of such facilities. The main objectives include collecting and processing statistical data, and also analyzing and interpreting results with due regard for international experience.

Methods. Processes of collecting and processing fire statistics for production and warehouse facilities are described depending on their areas; fire statistics is analyzed. The authors identified empirical dependencies, describing with acceptable accuracy the relationship between the fire frequency and the floor area of buildings used as production and warehouse facilities in various industries.

Conclusions. Dependencies between the fire frequency and the building area are identified for various industries. These dependencies are based on statistics, which are collected, processed, and analyzed, also from the viewpoint of obtainability of acceptable fire risk values at facilities that fully comply with regulatory requirements. Methods are proposed to improve regulations applying to fire risk analysis. New fire frequency data, provided in this work, are recommended for use in fire risk analysis.

About the Authors

A. N. Poletaev
All-Russian Research Institute for Fire Protection of Ministry of Russian Federation for Civil Defense, Emergencies and Elimination of Consequences of Natural Disasters
Russian Federation

Alexander N. POLETAEV, Cand. Sci. (Eng.), Leading Researcher at the Department of Fire Safety of Industrial facilities, Technologies and Modeling of Man-made accidents

VNIIPO, 12, Balashikha, Moscow Region, 143903

RSCI AuthorID: 774248



V. S. Goncharenko
Всероссийский ордена «Знак Почета» научно-исследовательский институт противопожарной обороны Министерства Российской Федерации по делам гражданской обороны, чрезвычайным ситуациям и ликвидации последствий стихийных бедствий
Russian Federation

Valentina S. GONCHARENKO, Researcher at the Department of Fire Statistics

VNIIPO, 12, Balashikha, Moscow Region, 143903

RSCI AuthorID: 935519



Yu. Yu. Zhuravlev
Department of Supervision and Preventive Work of the Ministry of Emergency Situations of Russia
Russian Federation

Yuri Yu. ZHURAVLEV, State Councilor of the Russian Federation, 3rd Class, Head of the Regulatory and Technical Department

Vatutina St., 1, Moscow, 121357



E. S. Kirik
Institute of computational modelling Siberian branch of Russian Academic Sciences
Russian Federation

Ekaterina S. KIRIK, Cand. Phys.-Math. (Eng.), Senior Researcher at the Department of Information and Telecommunication Technologies

Akadem­gorodok, 50/44, Krasnoyarsk, 660036

ResearcherID: A-2485-2014, ScopusID: 56867061700



M. Yu. Nesterov
Department of Supervision and Preventive Work of the Ministry of Emergency Situations of Russia
Russian Federation

Mikhail Yu. NESTEROV, Senior Inspector of the Regulatory and Technical Department

Vatutina St., 1, Moscow, 121357



References

1. Methodology for determining the calculated values of fire risk at industrial facilities : Аpproved by the order of the Ministry of Emergency Situations of Russia dated 26.06.2024 No. 533. URL: https://normativ.kontur.ru/document?moduleId=1100&documentId=52582 (rus).

2. Technical regulations on fire safety requirements : Federal Law No. 123-FZ was adopted by the State Duma on 04.07.2008. Approved by the Federation Council on 07.11.2008. URL: https://normativ.kontur.ru/document?moduleId=1&documentId=444219 (rus).

3. Manual for determining the calculated values of fire risk for industrial facilities. Moscow, VNIIPO, 2019 (rus).

4. Merkulov A.P., Kozhevin D.F. On the issue of determining the frequency of fire in buildings of various classes of functional fire hazard. Problems of risk management in the technosphere. 2022; 2(62):34-41. EDN GDZIHE. (rus).

5. Merkulov A.P., Kozhevin D.F. Determination of the frequency of fire in buildings of different classes of functional fire hazard depending on the area of the building. Bulletin of St. Petersburg State University of the State Fire Service of the Ministry of Emergency Situations of Russia. 2022; 3:34-41. EDN COUIQH (rus).

6. PD 7974-7:2003. Application of fire safety engineering principles to the design of buildings. Probabilistic risk assessment. URL: https://middleware.accord.bsigroup.com/pdf-preview?path=Preview%2F000000000030041517.pdf

7. Manes M., Rush D. A Critical Evaluation of BS PD 7974-7 Structural Fire Response Data Based on USA Fire Statistics. Fire Technology. 2018; 55:1243-1293. DOI: 10.1007/s10694-018-0775-2

8. Manes M., Rush D. Assessing fire frequency and structural fire behaviour of England statistics according to BS PD 7974-7. Fire Safety Journal. 2021; 120:103030. DOI: 10.1016/j.firesaf.2020.103030

9. D’Addario R. Considerazioni sul tasso di premio delle assicurazioni incendi. Bari, 1940.

10. Rutstein R. The probability of fire in different sectors of industry. Fire Surveyor. 1979; 8(1):20-23.

11. Manes M., Rush D. Probabilistic fire risk assessment in buildings using event tree analysis based on UK and USA fire statistics. Conference : Interflam. London, UK, 2019. URL: http://livrepository.liverpool.ac.uk/3142883/2019

12. Barnett A., Cheng C., Horasan M., He Y., Park L. Fire Load Density Distribution in School Buildings and Statistical Modelling. Fire Technology. 2022; 58:503-521. DOI: 10.1007/s10694-021-01150-w

13. Meacham B.J., van Straalen I.J. A socio-technical system framework for risk-informed performance-based building regulation. Building Research & Information. 2018; 46(4):444-462. DOI: 10.1080/09613218.2017.1299525

14. Goncharenko V.S., Chechetina T.A., Sibirko V.I., Nadtochiy O.V., Polekhin P.V., Kozlov A.A. et al. Fire and fire safety in 2022 : information and analytical collection. Balashikha, VNIIPO EMERCOM of Russia, 2023; 80. EDN IKFNVG. (rus).

15. Goncharenko V.S., Chechetina T.A., Sibirko V.I., Nadtochiy O.V., Polekhin P.V., Kozlov A.A. et al. Fire and fire safety in 2023 : informational and analytical collection. Balashikha, VNIIPO EMERCOM of Russia, 2024; 110. EDN BSONFO. (rus).

16. Shaimitov A.V. Automated analytical system for support and management of control and supervisory bodies of the Ministry of Emergency Situations of Russia as one of the types of automation of control and supervisory activities of the EMERCOM of Russia. Young scientist. 2023; 38(485):233-236. EDN XWFZGI (rus).

17. Porsov D.M., Dunaev D.K., Kharitonov A.B., Kozlov A.A., Enikeev R.Sh., Polekhin P.V. Automated analytical system for support and management of control and supervisory authorities of the Ministry of Emergency Situations of Russia (AAS KND). Certificate of state registration of a computer program. RU 2018617462, 02.26.2018. EDN JDJYFQ. (rus).

18. On the commissioning of the information system “Automated analytical system for support and management of control and supervisory bodies of the Ministry of Emergency Situations of Russia” : Order of the Ministry of Emergency Situations of Russia dated March 25, 2022 No. 262. (rus).

19. On approval of the Regulations for work in the information system “Automated analytical system for support and management of control and supervisory bodies of the Ministry of Emergency Situations of Russia” : Order of the Ministry of Emergency Situations of Russia dated 04.10.2022 No. 954. (rus).

20. User’s manual for the software tool “Calculator for classifying protected objects into a certain risk category when implementing federal State fire supervision” (calculator). Balashikha, VNIIPO EMERCOM of Russia. 2020; 11. URL: https://mchs.gov.ru/dokumenty/5099 (rus).

21. On the organization of calculations of indicator values for classifying protected objects owned and (or) used (operated) by organizations and citizens into a certain risk category when implementing federal state fire supervision : Order of the Ministry of Emergency Situations of Russia dated December 14, 2020 No. 947. URL: https://static.mchs.gov.ru/uploads/resource/2020-12-30/federalnyy-gosudarstvennyy-pozharnyy-nadzor_1609323335273782784.pdf (rus).

22. SP 2.13130.2020. Systems of fire protection. Fire-resistance security of protecting units. (rus).

23. SP 486.1311500.2020. List of buildings, structures, premises and equipment subject to protection by automatic fire extinguishing systems and fire alarm systems. Fire safety requirements. (rus).

24. SP 7.13130.2013. Heating, ventilation and conditioning. Fire safety requirements. (rus).

25. SP 485.1311500.2020. Automatic fire-extinguishing systems. Designing and regulation.rules. (rus).


Review

For citations:


Poletaev A.N., Goncharenko V.S., Zhuravlev Yu.Yu., Kirik E.S., Nesterov M.Yu. Fire frequency statistics for various production and warehouse facilities in the Russian Federation. Pozharovzryvobezopasnost/Fire and Explosion Safety. 2025;34(4):42-61. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.22227/0869-7493.2025.34.04.42-61

Views: 28


ISSN 0869-7493 (Print)
ISSN 2587-6201 (Online)